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JPR Special Report

DVD Market

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Introduction

This is a study on the DVD market, players, and recorders, in every type of consumer electronics device, in computers, and in industrial systems.

The DVD market is huge and getting larger, very rapidly. No longer limited to home entertainment playback boxes, it is being combined with increasing numbers of consumer electronics products: computers, portable devices, appliances and industrial systems—DVD is everywhere.

This report discusses all of these form factors plus the new integrated combo systems with DVDs in them, and offers four-year forecasts and market trends. We have also provided forecasts and market trends for portable DVD, vehicle DVD, and DVD recorders. We include a discussion of DVD semiconductor components, their suppliers, and the software decoders and editing systems.

The study is a supply-side report primarily focused on drive shipments and subsequently on products with DVD drives in them. There is also a discussion on the semiconductors used in DVD systems, the media, the end-user software, and the technology including some discussion on copy protection.

The report covers the companies, and some of the suppliers' products; market data (i.e., shipments, sales, forecasts, etc.) is provided for the DVD platforms.

There is also a look into the future both in market forecasts and in technology.

Table of Contents 

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Introduction 1
Executive Summary 2
    Recordable Formats 3
    Summary of market size 4
        Integrated 5
        Computers 5
        Vehicle 6
        Portables 6
        Camcorders 6
        Others 7
        Media 7
        Semiconductors 7
    Future 8
    Region market data 8
Methodology 9
    Terminology 9
    History of DVD 9
Technology 11
    Basic Definitions 11
        What is a DVD? 11
        Specifications & Formats 12
        DVD compared to DSS 13
        DVD compared to Laserdisc 13
        DVD video compared to videotape 14
        Audio output of DVD player 14
        Video Aspect Ratio 15
        Video Compression Standards 15
    Recordable Formats 16
        DVD Audio 16
        DVD+R (DVD+Recordable) 17
        DVD-R 17
        DVD-RAM 17
        DVD-ROM 17
        DVD+RW 17
        DVD-RW 17
        DVD-Video 17
        DVD+RW Alliance 19
        DVD Forum 19
    What are the differences? 20
        Key Features 20
        Write-Once 20
        Rewritable DVD 21
        Precise Data Addressing 21
        Defect Management 21
        Disk Formatting 21
        Mt. Rainier Specifications 22
        Market realities 22
    vInterface 23
        Software 23
    End of the war? 23
        DVD-Multi 23
          Dual RW 24
        Summary 24
    Copy protection and Digital Rights Management 24
        Content Scrambling System 25
        DVD Copy Control Association 26
        DVD Region Coding 27
        WG9: DVD Forum working group for copy protection. 27
        DVD Analog Copy Protection 27
        MacroSafe 28
        Combating Piracy with Copy-protection Solutions 28
        Decaying DVDs 28
        DVD-Audio Copy Protection 29
        321 Studios 30
    Licensing 31
        DVD6C 31
        3C Group 32
        DVD Forum 32
    Digital Darwinism 33
    Convergence: The DVD platform 36
        DVD + TV 38
        DVD + Web access 39
        PCFriendly 40
        Phoenix Technologies and InterActual Technologies 40
        FirstView Connect Features 41
        The DVD as Home Gateway 42
        Intel Digital Media Adapter 43
        Oak Technologies 43
        Digital 5 44
    The software side of the DVD platform 47
        Planetweb 47
        Mediabolic 48
        InterActual 48
Market Segments and Size 50
    DVD players, all types 51
    DVD recorders, all types 51
    DVD players and recorders, all types 52
    Market Segments Size and Definitions 53
    Platforms 53
        Stand-alone CE devices (set-top box) 54
        U.S. households transition to DVD 56
        Stand-alone Consumer Electronics Players (CE-Ps) 59
        Recorders 61
        Shortage of pick-up heads for DVD+RW and DVD-RW drives 64
        Stand-alone Consumer Electronics Recorders (CE-Rs) 64
        Integrated CE (TV, DVR, A/V systems, others) 65
        Integrated Consumer Electronic Players (ICE-Ps) 66
        Integrated Consumer Electronic Recorders (ICE-Rs) 67
        Computer 69
            Computer-based Stand-alone Players (C-Ps) 69
            Computer-based DVD recorders (C-Rs) 71
        Computer segments 73
        Mobile Computer segments 73
        Vehicle 75
        Vehicle-based Stand-alone Players (V-Ps) 76
        Personal mobile 77
            Personal mobile players 78
            Personal mobile recorder/players 80
            Personal mobile camcorders 81
        Other 82
    Media 83
    Semiconductors 85
        Overview of semiconductor suppliers 87
    Recordable products 112
    Deinterlacing 122
     Video Processing in the Computer 126
    DVD Gateway Semiconductors 129
    DVD Decoding and Encoding Software 133
    DVD-creation software 136
The Future 155
    HD DVD or the ÒBlue laserÓ 155
        Sony shows its first Blu-ray Disc recorder for consumers 158
        Nichia, Sony collaborate for blue-violet laser production 158
    3D Holographic (Holomems) 159
        DVD hybrid disks: Kodak's CD-PROM 160
        DivX does HDTV on standard DVD 161
        Fluorescent Multilayer Disc (FMD) 162
    MultiLevel (ML) 164
        Small disk (DataPlay, Philips, Sony) 166
        Ultra/super-density (MO) optical 166
Appendix 1
     Glossary 1
     VCD/SVCD 2
    Industry TV display standards 2

Table of Figures

Figure 1. Total DVD Player/Recorder market size 4
Figure 2. History of DVD 10
Figure 3. Recordable DVD format introduction 18
Figure 4. DVD formats 18
Figure 5. Popularity of Digital Entertainment sources 36
Figure 6. Sales of TV/VCRs in U.S. market since 1991 39
Figure 7. Phoenix's FirstView Connect software stack 41
Figure 8. Oak Technologies' MaestroLink 43
Figure 9. Digital 5's Netplay 45
Figure 10. Digital 5's software stack 46
Figure 11. DVD players worldwide 51
Figure 12. DVD recorders worldwide 52
Figure 13. DVD penetration in U.S. households 56
Figure 14. VHS rentals are declining as DVD rentals grow in the U.S. 57
Figure 15. CE STB players shipped per year worldwide 60
Figure 16. VCRs vs. DVD players in the U.S. 61
Figure 17. VCRs vs. VHS cassettes in the U.S. 62
Figure 18. Ratio of VHS cassettes to VCRs in the U.S. 63
Figure 19. CE STB recorders shipped per year worldwide 65
Figure 20. Integrated CE players shipped per year worldwide 67
Figure 21. CE integrated recorders shipped per year worldwide 68
Figure 22. Total computer-based DVD players shipped per year worldwide 69
Figure 23. Mobile and Workstation Computer-based DVD player shipments 70
Figure 24. Desktop computer-based DVD player shipments 71
Figure 25. Total computer-based DVD recordable systems shipped per year worldwide 72
Figure 26. Mobile x86-based recordable DVD shipments 73
Figure 27. Penetration of recordable DVD drives in mobile computers 74
Figure 28. Total vehicle-based DVD player systems shipped per year worldwide 76
Figure 29. Total portable DVD players shipped per year worldwide 79
Figure 30. Total portable DVD recorder/players shipped per year worldwide 80
Figure 31. Total camcorder-based DVD recorder/players shipped per year worldwide 81
Figure 32. Total Other-based DVD players shipped per year worldwide 82
Figure 33. Recordable DVD media production and forecast 84
Figure 34. Total semiconductor DVD market 86
Figure 35. Market share DVD decoder chips 88
Figure 36. ALi's M3351 single-chip DVD controller 91
Figure 37. Cirrus Logic's 98200 DVD combo controller 94
Figure 38. ESS's SoC plan 101
Figure 39. National's Geode SC1200 110
Figure 40. Philips' pnx7100 DVD+R/W controller 111
Figure 41. Sigma Design's EM8500 116
Figure 42. Zoran's Activa 100 reference design 121
Figure 43. Market share among DVD semiconductor decoder suppliers 122
Figure 44. Digital 5's Netplay DVD interface 130
Figure 45. Digital 5's client software stack 130
Figure 46. DVD authoring market 136
Figure 47. Microsoft DVD software platform 137
Figure 48. Market share among DVD software decoder suppliers 154
Figure 49. Blu-ray cartridge 156
Figure 50. Blu-ray compared to red 4-GByte DVD 157
Figure 51. Fluorescent Multilayer Disc (FMD) 162

Table of Tables

Table 1. All DVD ROM, RAM, and RW shipments for all platforms 4
Table 2. All CE STB players and recorders 5
Table 3. All Integrated CE players and recorders 5
Table 4. All segments of computer-based DVD players and recorders 5
Table 5. All vehicle-based DVD players 6
Table 6. All portable players and recorders 6
Table 7. All camcorder DVD players and recorders 6
Table 8. All Other-based DVD players and recorders 7
Table 9. All recordable DVD media shipments 7
Table 10. All semiconductors for DVD market 8
Table 11. DVD physical specifications 12
Table 12. DVD regions 27
Table 13. InterActual estimated titles 49
Table 14. DVD ROM, RAM, R, and RW shipments for all platforms 52
Table 15. Top ten DVD rentals on Amazon 58
Table 16. Top ten rental DVDs 58
Table 17. CE STB players 60
Table 18. CE STB players and recorders 65
Table 19. Integrated CE players 67
Table 20. Integrated CE players and recorders 68
Table 21. All segments of computer-based DVD players shipped
per year worldwide 71
Table 22. All segments of computer-based DVD players and recorders
shipped per year worldwide 72
Table 23. Mobile x86-based recordable DVD shipments per year worldwide 74
Table 24. Vehicle-based DVD players 77
Table 25. A sampling of available portable DVDs on the market. 78
Table 26. Portable DVD players 79
Table 27. Portable recorder/players 80
Table 28. Camcorder DVD recorder/ players 81
Table 29. Other-based DVD players 82
Table 30. Recordable DVD media shipments 84
Table 31. Total semiconductor DVD market 87
Table 32. Cirrus' competitive position. 95
Table 33. Feature list of various software decoders 135
Table 34. U.S. households data 1
Table 35. Blu-ray specifications 2

Price List 

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