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Q1’20 shipments

The first wave of estimates by Canalys, Gartner, and IDC for Q1’20 PC shipments have been posted, and the average of the estimates is shipments declined almost 26% from Q4’19. That’s the most significant quarter-to-quarter drop since Q4’08 (36%). However, Q2’09 saw the most significant increase in shipments by —40%. So, if an economic shock can create a V effect, ...

Jon Peddie

The first wave of estimates by Canalys, Gartner, and IDC for Q1’20 PC shipments have been posted, and the average of the estimates is shipments declined almost 26% from Q4’19. That’s the most significant quarter-to-quarter drop since Q4’08 (36%). However, Q2’09 saw the most significant increase in shipments by —40%. So, if an economic shock can create a V effect, Q3’20 could, and likely will be up significantly. How significantly? Using past data as a model, we can forecast a rise of 25% to as much as 30%. Several economists seem to agree on the “V” theory. In the case
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